RCP25
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Projected regional average change in seasonal and annual temperature and precipitation extremes for the IPCC SREX regions for CMIP5. The data were produced in 2013 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group II (WGII) Chapter 14 supplementary material (SM) author team for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Regional average seasonal and annual temperature and precipitation extremes for the periods 2016-2035, 2046-2065 and 2081-2100 for CMIP5 General Circulation Model (GCM) projections are compared to a baseline of 1986-2005 from each model's historical simulation. The temperature and precipitation data are based on the difference between the projected periods and the historical baseline for which the 25th, 50th and 75th percentiles, and the lowest and highest responses among the 32 models which are expressed for temperature as degrees Celsius change and for precipitation as a per cent change. The temperature responses are averaged over the boreal winter and summer seasons; December, January, February (DJF) and June, July and August (JJA) respectively. The precipitation responses are averaged over half year periods, boreal winter (BW); October, November, December, January, February and March (ONDJFM) and boreal summer (BS); April, May, June, July, August and September (AMJJAS). Regional averages are based on the SREX regions defined by the IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (IPCC, 2012: also known as "SREX"). Added to the SREX regions are additional regions containing the two polar regions, the Caribbean, Indian Ocean and Pacific Island States. The data are further categorised by the land and sea mask for each SREX region.
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Projected regional average change in seasonal and annual mean temperature and precipitation for the IPCC SREX regions for CMIP5 and CMIP3. The data were produced in 2014 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group II (WGII) Chapter 21 author team for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Regional average seasonal and annual mean temperature and precipitation for the period 2071-2100 are compared to a baseline of 1961-1990 for CMIP5 and CMIP3 General Circulation Model (GCM) projections. The data compare the range of projections from 35 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble under four Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios compared with GCM projections from 22 CMIP3 ensemble under three Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) scenarios. Regional averages are based on SREX regions defined by the IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (IPCC, 2012: also known as "SREX").