UKCP09: Climate change projections of storm surge trend for UK waters
The UKCP09 marine & coastal storm surge data provides projections of surge height for the linear trend, the 5th and 95th percentiles throughout the 21st Century for 2, 10, 20 and 50 year return period events (including statistical significance) over a 12km coastal grid. Data are available for a medium emissions scenario (IPCC SRES: A1B), to reflect some aspects of the uncertainty in modelling global and regional climate change eleven different variants of the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model HadCM3 were used to drive eleven corresponding variants of the HadRM3 regional model, which in turn drove the National Oceanography Centre storm surge model (POLCS3).
Note: The projections do not cover all plausible future outcomes and unlike some other components of UKCP09, the storm surge height projections are not probabilistic, although a range is provided based on the assumption that the 11 simulations are equally likely.
More information about the storm surge methodology (including assumptions and caveats) are given in Chapter 4 of the UKCP09 Marine & coastal projections report and the technical note on storm projections.
Simple
- Date (Publication)
- 2017-09-05T13:01:51
- Date (Creation)
- 2017-09-05T13:01:51
- Identifier
- Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) / aa448fd749954539afa60e04379f6e5c
- Maintenance and update frequency
- Not planned
- Update scope
- Dataset
- Keywords
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- tendency_of_atmosphere_mass_content_of_methyl_chloride_due_to_emission
- UKCP09
- UK storm surge
- climate projections
- GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
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- atmospheric conditions
- Access constraints
- Other restrictions
- Other constraints
- Access to these data is available to any registered CEDA user. Please Login or Register for a CEDA account to gain access.
- Use constraints
- Other restrictions
- Spatial representation type
- Grid
- Metadata language
- English
- Topic category
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- Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
- Begin date
- 1951-01-01T00:00:00
- End date
- 2099-12-31T23:59:59
- Unique resource identifier
- WGS 84
- Distribution format
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The data are NetCDF formatted and adhere to v1.0 of the CF data conventions.
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The data are NetCDF formatted and adhere to v1.0 of the CF data conventions.
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- OnLine resource
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CEDA Data Catalogue Page
Detail and access information for the resource
- OnLine resource
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DOWNLOAD
Download Data
- OnLine resource
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UKCP09 archive overview document
No further details.
- OnLine resource
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UK climate projections website
No further details.
- OnLine resource
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Marine and coastal projections
No further details.
- OnLine resource
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Technical note on storm projections
No further details.
- OnLine resource
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UKCP09 climate projections review
No further details.
- OnLine resource
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UKCP09 climate projections response
No further details.
- Hierarchy level
- Dataset
Conformance result
- Date (Publication)
- 2010-12-08
- Statement
- Original data were produced by the Met Office as part of the UKCP09 service before preparation for archival with the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA).
- File identifier
- aa448fd749954539afa60e04379f6e5c XML
- Metadata language
- English
- Character set
- UTF8
- Parent identifier
- UKCP09: Land and marine past climate and future scenario projections data for the UK 094d9c9b9dda42c0aa1a1848af9fb56b
- Hierarchy level
- Dataset
- Date stamp
- 2024-11-21T00:31:25
- Metadata standard name
- UK GEMINI
- Metadata standard version
- 2.3